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作者

Lorraine Foelske;Carena J. van Riper;William Stewart;Amy Ando;Paul Gobster;Len Hunt

来源

LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING,Vol.189,Issue1,P.396-407

语言

英文

关键字

作者单位

Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1102 S. Goodwin Ave., Urbana, IL 61801, USA;Department of Recreation, Sport and Tourism, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA;Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA;Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, USA;Center for Northern Forest Ecosystem Research, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry, Canada;Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1102 S. Goodwin Ave., Urbana, IL 61801, USA;Department of Recreation, Sport and Tourism, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA;Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA;Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, USA;Center for Northern Forest Ecosystem Research, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry, Canada

摘要

Increasing the capacity of communities on the rural-urban fringe to accommodate sustainable growth is a key concern among resource management agencies. Decisions about the future of these landscapes involve difficult tradeoffs that underscore the importance of incorporating diverse stakeholder values and preferences into planning efforts. We assessed residents’ preferences for exurban growth alternatives in two Midwestern U.S. counties – Jasper County, IA and Will County, IL – that have strong agrarian roots and lie at the fringe of rapidly-expanding metropolitan areas. Using a choice model, we identified how six landscape characteristics influenced respondents’ stated choices for growth scenarios. Informed by previous research, focus groups, and pilot testing, our final model evaluated preferences for residential growth, protected grasslands, recreation, agriculture, bison reintroduction, and unemployment. Results from a county-wide survey mailed to 3000 residents (final N = 889) indicated that five of the six landscape-scale attributes significantly influenced residents’ choices. Increased residential growth, more protected grasslands and agricultural lands, and greater access to recreation positively predicted choices for hypothetical growth scenarios while residents preferred future scenarios with low levels of unemployment. Further, the strength of preferences for these land use and economic conditions differed between Jasper and Will County residents. The study findings aid decision makers who face growth and urbanization pressures and provide insight on how to integrate preferences of current residents into planning decisions at a regional scale.