《The Mortgage Market as a Stimulus Channel in the COVID-19 Crisis》

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作者
Edward Golding;Laurie S. Goodman;Richard Green;Susan Wachter
来源
来源 HOUSING POLICY DEBATE,Vol.31,Issue.1
语言
英文
关键字
作者单位
a Golub Center for Finance and Policy, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, USA;b Housing Finance Policy Center, Urban Institute, Washington, DC, USA;c Sol Price School of Public Policy and Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, USA;d Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic mortgage forbearance programs are valuable, providing relief to approximately 2 million homeowners. At the same time, aggressive Federal Reserve intervention has decreased mortgage rates substantially, encouraging refinancing. However, mortgage rates remain elevated, as the industry is capacity constrained, and mortgage underwriting has become more restrictive, limiting the potential gains to borrowers from the Fed’s actions. This article proposes a streamlined refinance program for Federal mortgages. We estimate the impact of this program, showing that it would reduce mortgage defaults by allowing approximately 3 million families to refinance, who would otherwise be unable to do so because of tight underwriting requirements. It would also provide a further stimulus of $53 billion per year to the economy.