《Public and private housing markets dynamics in Singapore: The role of fundamentals》

打印
作者
来源
JOURNAL OF HOUSING ECONOMICS,Vol.36,P.44-61
语言
英文
关键字
Public housing; Private housing; Fundamentals; Demographics; PRICE; BUBBLES; IMMIGRATION; VOLATILITY; MOBILITY; CITIES; RENTS; MODEL
作者单位
[Chia, Wai-Mun; Tang, Yang] Nanyang Technol Univ, Sch Humanities & Social Sci, Div Econ, 14 Nanyang Dr, Singapore 637332, Singapore. [Li, Mengling] Xiamen Univ, Dept Econ, Sch Econ, 422 South Siming Rd, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China. [Li, Mengling] Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ WISE, 422 South Siming Rd, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China. Li, ML (reprint author), Xiamen Univ, Dept Econ, Sch Econ, 422 South Siming Rd, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China.; Li, ML (reprint author), Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ WISE, 422 South Siming Rd, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, Peoples R China. E-Mail: mengling0101@gmail.com
摘要
Singapore housing market features a sizable public sector and a non-negligible private sector. This paper examines the interactions between these two sectors and the contributions of economic fundamentals, including demographics, financial constraints and land supply, to both public and private housing prices growth. We construct a dynamic general equilibrium model capturing the main demographic characteristics and housing market arrangements in Singapore, where residents can choose between public and private housing while nonresidents only have access to the private housing. We find that economic fundamentals can account for about 47.6% of the public housing price growth from 1990 to 2015 and 81.3% of the private housing price growth from 1980 to 2015, in which demographics have contributed the most, accounting for about 60.8 and 73.2% to the public and private housing prices increase, respectively. (C) 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.