The 1985 siting of a Toyota manufacturing plant in rural Kentucky, USA: The ensuing land use change and implications for planning

《The 1985 siting of a Toyota manufacturing plant in rural Kentucky, USA: The ensuing land use change and implications for planning》

打印

关键字: Land use change; Rural economic development; Large-scale auto-industry; Cellular automata and Markov chain; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA MODELS; ECONOMIC-DEVELOPMENT; URBAN-GROWTH; INTEGRATION; DYNAMICS; INDUSTRY

作者单位: [Ghosh, Sudeshna] Indiana Univ Penn, Dept Geog & Reg Planning, CHSS Bldg 413H,981 Grant St, Indiana, PA 15705 USA. [Chifos, Carla] Univ Cincinnati, DAA Sch Planning, 2624 Clifton Ave, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA. Chifos, C (reprint author), Univ Cincinnati, DAA Sch Planning, 2624 Clifton Ave, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA. E-Mail: ghoshsn@iup.edu; chifosc@ucmail.uc.edu

摘要: Siting of large-scale industries not only generates huge economic benefits for rural communities but also instigates inevitable land use changes with conversion of rural lands to industrial, commercial, residential and other uses. Despite its environmental and ecological consequences, study of land use change impacts of large-scale industries is rare. Our research assesses the spatio-temporal patterns of land use changes instigated by the siting of the Toyota plant in Georgetown, Kentucky. We develop Cellular Automata and Markov Chain Analysis based spatial models to estimate the type, acreage, location and time-lags of land use changes spurred by the auto-industry at a regional scale. Our findings suggest the plant induced significant physical transformation of the regional landscape; however, such transformations were not uniform for industrial, commercial and residential developments and were visible only after a time-lag of about 5-10 years.