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作者

来源

JOURNAL OF HOUSING ECONOMICS,Vol.38,P.50-61

语言

英文

关键字

Forced sales; Mortgages; Housing market; Externalities; MORTGAGE FORECLOSURES; PROPERTY-VALUES; IMPACT

作者单位

[Mocking, Remco; Overvest, Bastiaan] Netherlands Bur Econ Policy Anal, Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, NL-2594 AV The Hague, Netherlands. [Mocking, Remco] CPB Netherlands Bur Econ Policy Anal, The Hague, Netherlands. [Overvest, Bastiaan] Tilburg Law & Econ Ctr TILEC, Tilburg, Netherlands. Overvest, B (reprint author), Netherlands Bur Econ Policy Anal, Bezuidenhoutseweg 30, NL-2594 AV The Hague, Netherlands.; Overvest, B (reprint author), Tilburg Law & Econ Ctr TILEC, Tilburg, Netherlands. E-Mail: r.mocking@cpb.nl; b.overvest@cpb.nl

摘要

We estimate the effects of forced sales on the Dutch housing market. A forced sale may have two distinct effects: a lower transaction price of the property itself ("direct effect") and lower transaction prices for unforced nearby transactions ("spillover effect"). We estimate both effects. We employ an unusual rich dataset of about 750000 house transactions in the Netherlands between 2007 and 2013. To identify the effects of forced sales we control for neighborhood-time effects, detailed house characteristics, and use both a quasi difference-in-differences specification and a repeat-sales specification. A forced sale results in a price discount of about 5% and a nearby forced sale reduces the transaction price by about 0.6%.