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作者

来源

JOURNAL OF ARCHITECTURAL AND PLANNING RESEARCH,Vol.34,Issue1,P.49-70

语言

英文

关键字

BABY BOOMERS; MIGRATION

作者单位

[Chapin, Timothy] Florida State Univ, Coll Social Sci & Publ Policy, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA. [Chapin, Timothy; Coutts, Christopher] Florida State Univ, Urban & Reg Planning, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA. Chapin, T (reprint author), FSU Dept Urban & Reg Planning, 330 Bellamy Bldg,113 Collegiate Loop,Box 3062280, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA. E-Mail: tchapin@fsu.edu

摘要

Between 2011 and 2030, the members of the Baby Boom generation will enter their retirement years, and most United States communities will feel the effect of this "Silver Tsunami." The potential mobility of the Baby Boom generation is of great interest to planners and analysts of spatial population trends, as this generation has the potential to have a marked effect on the nation's urban, suburban, and rural communities. In this paper, the authors use the cohort survival method to analyze changes in three specific subsets of the state of Florida's older adult population: Go-Gos (ages 65-74), Slow-Gos (ages 75-84), and No-Gos (ages 85 and older). Findings indicate that Florida has been effective at attracting young, active retirees (Go-Gos) but has struggled to retain members of the Slow-Go and No-Go cohorts. Suburban counties were found to have outperformed urban and rural counties in attracting Go-Gos and retaining Slow-Gos. These findings offer little support for the view that a Baby-Boomer-led "back to the city" movement, or alternatively a "rural renaissance," is likely.