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作者

来源

EUROPEAN PLANNING STUDIES,Vol.26,Issue3,P.502-525

语言

英文

关键字

Climate change; local sustainable development; Serbia; adaptation; CLIMATE-CHANGE ADAPTATION; SERBIA; IMPACTS; INFRASTRUCTURE; VULNERABILITY; AGRICULTURE; INTEGRATION; FORESTRY; OPTIONS; SYSTEMS

作者单位

[Vranic, Petar; Velimirovic, Jelena D.] Serbian Acad Arts & Sci, Math Inst, Belgrade, Serbia. [Nikolic, Vesna; Milutinovic, Slobodan] Univ Nis, Fac Occupat Safety, Dept Social Dev & Humanizat Working Environm, Nish, Serbia. Vranic, P (reprint author), Serbian Acad Arts & Sci, Math Inst, Belgrade, Serbia. E-Mail: petarvvv@gmail.com

摘要

Towards the end of the century, Serbia will face a dramatic increase in annual temperature between 2 degrees C and 6 degrees C and decrease in annual accumulated precipitation up to 12%. Recent 2014 floods in Serbia, with more than 30 victims, and more than 30,000 displaced people, with overall damage close to Euro1.5 billion, reflected those trends and the likely risks that region will face due the changing climate. Those risks may influence the development process at the local level. This paper assesses the existing priority measures in local sustainable development strategies and re-interprets their characteristics using a methodological framework for the definition of adaptation measures. It offers a new understanding of the ongoing local sustainable development approach in the potentially most vulnerable municipalities in Serbia. The study focused on following properties of developmental measures: cost-effectiveness, structural characteristics, target realm, spatial determination, time frame, climate responsiveness, and sector and budgetallocation of development measures at the local level. The results of the analysis suggest that the initiation of adaptation planning should consider the improvement of the methodological framework- the introduction of inter-sectoral and cross-sectoral planning practice, cost-benefit analysis, the involvement of individual actors in planning and dynamic planning approaches.