《The Impact of Distant Hurricane on Local Housing Markets》
打印
- 作者
- Lu Fang1, Lingxiao Li Abdullah Yavas3
- 来源
- JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS,Vol.volumes-and-issues,Issue66-2,P.
- 语言
- 英文
- 关键字
- 作者单位
- 摘要
- This study investigates whether the local housing markets can be affected by the occurrence of a large-scale but distant hurricane without direct impact. Using a dataset of residential transactions in Miami-Dade County, FL between 2005 and 2014, we find that the impact of a property’s flood risk exposure on its value varies over time, with a price penalty of 4% in hurricane striking period. By contrast, within a quiet hurricane period, properties within high flood hazard zones demand a price premium ranging roughly from 4% to 6%, which may represent the price impact of water-related amenities. The premium declined significantly upon Hurricane Sandy. Several possible explanations are provided and tested to explain the main findings. Our findings indicate that the occurrence of a disastrous hurricane which impacted faraway regions also raised local home buyers’ perception of flood risk, but for a short period of time (one quarter).