《JUE Insight: How much does COVID-19 increase with mobility? Evidence from New York and four other U.S. cities》
打印
- 作者
- Edward L. Glaeser;Caitlin Gorback;Stephen J. Redding
- 来源
- 来源 JOURNAL OF URBAN ECONOMICS,Vol.127,P.
- 语言
- 英文
- 关键字
- COVID-19;Mobility;Contagion;Telework;Essential workers;Public transportation;H12;I12;J17;R41
- 作者单位
- Department of Economics, Harvard University, and NBER, United States;NBER, United States;Department of Economics and PSPIA, Princeton University, CEPR, and NBER, United States;Department of Economics, Harvard University, and NBER, United States;NBER, United States;Department of Economics and PSPIA, Princeton University, CEPR, and NBER, United States
- 摘要
- How effective are restrictions on mobility in limiting COVID-19 spread? Using zip code data across five U.S. cities, we estimate that total cases per capita decrease by 19% for every ten percentage point fall in mobility. Addressing endogeneity concerns, we instrument for travel by residential teleworkable and essential shares and find a 25% decline in cases per capita. Using panel data for NYC with week and zip code fixed effects, we estimate a decline of 30%. We find substantial spatial and temporal heterogeneity; east coast cities have stronger effects, with the largest for NYC in the pandemic’s early stages.