《JUE Insight: How much does COVID-19 increase with mobility? Evidence from New York and four other U.S. cities》

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作者
Edward L. Glaeser;Caitlin Gorback;Stephen J. Redding
来源
来源 JOURNAL OF URBAN ECONOMICS,Vol.127,P.
语言
英文
关键字
COVID-19;Mobility;Contagion;Telework;Essential workers;Public transportation;H12;I12;J17;R41
作者单位
Department of Economics, Harvard University, and NBER, United States;NBER, United States;Department of Economics and PSPIA, Princeton University, CEPR, and NBER, United States;Department of Economics, Harvard University, and NBER, United States;NBER, United States;Department of Economics and PSPIA, Princeton University, CEPR, and NBER, United States
摘要
How effective are restrictions on mobility in limiting COVID-19 spread? Using zip code data across five U.S. cities, we estimate that total cases per capita decrease by 19% for every ten percentage point fall in mobility. Addressing endogeneity concerns, we instrument for travel by residential teleworkable and essential shares and find a 25% decline in cases per capita. Using panel data for NYC with week and zip code fixed effects, we estimate a decline of 30%. We find substantial spatial and temporal heterogeneity; east coast cities have stronger effects, with the largest for NYC in the pandemic’s early stages.